ATO/Sao Paulo forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 (July-June) at 64.3 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 11 percent compared to the last crop. Although Arabica trees are on the on-year of the biennial production cycle, production should be constrained by adverse weather conditions in 2021. Robusta production, however, should benefit from above-average weather conditions and good crop management, thus resulting in an excellent output. Coffee exports for MY 2022/23 are projected at 39.05 million bags, an increase of three percent vis-à-vis MY 2021/22 due to the higher coffee supply. The shortage of containers for shipping bulk coffee, booking cancellations, cargo rollovers, and extremely high freight rates remain a challenge for the industry.
Some of our competitors are telling you the Brazilian coffee market is in trouble, production is under siege from frost and drought and global warming. This is sales talk for "we're going to raise your prices but it's not becuase we want higher profit from you; it's because blah blah blah is forcing us to add 20% to the price you used to pay.
Yes, 2022 prices have risen with runaway inflation. What makes that even worse for green coffee buyers like you is the shipping container crisis. Freight forwarding costs have doubled and in some cases tripled over 2021. There are several reasons for this, which is the subject for another blog. For the purposes of this blog, we're focusing upon Brazilian coffee product and export output. Please feel free to read the FDA's Annual Report on Brazilian Coffee by clicking HERE.
Lucatelli Coffee remains focused in 2022-2023 on three primary areas: Quality, Value, and Sustainability. Reach out today by clicking the email link below, tell us what you're looking for, and allow us the opportunity to earn your business.
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